Comunicat de presă


Balance of payments and external debt – January 2024

15.03.2024

In January 2024p, the balance-of-payments current account posted a deficit of EUR 1,358 million, compared with EUR 760 million in January 2023. The breakdown shows that the deficit on trade in goods declined by EUR 229 million, the surplus on services fell by EUR 351 million, the primary income deficit stood at EUR 376 million against a EUR 27 million surplus in the same year-ago period, while the secondary income surplus decreased by EUR 72 million.

Balance of payments current account (EUR million)
  January 2023 January 2024p
CREDIT DEBIT BALANCE CREDIT DEBIT BALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT (A+B+C) 11,914 12,674 -760 11,435 12,793 -1,358
A. Goods and services 9,860 10,768 -908 9,717 10,748 -1,031
a. Goods 6,750 8,900 -2,150 6,655 8,576 -1,921
b. Services 3,110 1,868 1,242 3,062 2,172 890
- manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others 261 10 251 266 11 255
- transport 793 352 441 862 384 478
- tourism-travel 386 569 -183 203 654 -451
- telecommunications, computer, and information services 824 316 508 830 365 465
- other 846 621 225 901 758 143
B. Primary income 1,506 1,479 27 1,241 1,617 -376
C. Secondary income 548 427 121 477 428 49

p - provisional data

Non-residents’ direct investmente in Romania totalled EUR 583 million (compared with EUR 596 million in January 2023), of which equity (including the estimated net reinvestment of earnings) and intercompany lending recorded net values of EUR 697 million and EUR -114 million, respectively.

In January 2024, total external debt increased by EUR 4,314 million to EUR 173,126 million, of which:

  • long-term external debt at end-January 2024 ran at EUR 125,244 million (72.3 percent of total external debt), up 3.4 percent against end-2023;
  • short-term external debt at end-January 2024 amounted to EUR 47,882 million (27.7 percent of total external debt), up 0.5 percent from end-2023.

Romania’s external debt and external debt service
  External debt External debt service, 1M 2024p
End-2023 End-January 2024p
1. General government 76,739 80,769 975
Currency and deposits 391 248 301
Debt securities* 61,188 64,748 623
Loans 14,957 15,575 21
Trade credit and advances 199 194 30
Other accounts payable 4 4 0
2. Central Bank 3,307 3,342 0
Currency and deposits 1 1 0
Debt securities 0 0 0
Loans 0 0 0
Allocation of SDRs 3,306 3,341 0
Other accounts payable 0 0 0
3. Deposit taking corporations except the central bank 12,973 12,935 805
Currency and deposits 8,550 8,501 728
Debt securities 4,330 4,350 36
Loans 0 0 0
Other accounts payable 93 84 41
4. Other sectors 30,878 31,149 2,112
Currency and deposits 0 0 0
Debt securities 863 875 9
Loans 13,396 13,416 940
Trade credit and advances 16,305 16,561 1,136
Other accounts payable 314 297 27
I. EXTERNAL DEBT (1+2+3+4)** 123,897 128,195 3,892
II. DIRECT INVESTMENT: INTERCOMPANY LENDING 44,915 44,931 2,355
TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT (I+II)
   of which:
168,812 173,126 6,247
Short term 47,650 47,882 5,156
Long term 121,162 125,244 1,091

p - provisional data
*except debt instruments related to direct investment

Long-term external debt service ratio stood at 11.2 percent in January 2024 against 17.4 percent in 2023. At end-January 2024, goods and services import cover ran at 6.3 months, as compared to 5.6 months at end-2023.

At end-January 2024, the ratio of the National Bank of Romania’s foreign exchange reserves to short-term external debt by remaining maturity came in at 99.9 percent, as against 97.4 percent at end-2023.

Methodological Notes

  1. Data are updated on a monthly basis. Data for the current period together with the revised data for the base period are available under Data sets; historical monthly and quarterly data going back to 2005 are available in the Interactive database.
  2. The international methodological standard on balance of payments compilation is ensured by the IMF’s sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). The BPM6 methodology has been transposed into the EU legislation based on Commission Regulation (EU) No 555/2012 amending Regulation (EC) No 184/2005 of the European Parliament and of the Council on Community statistics concerning balance of payments, international trade in services and foreign direct investment, as regards the update of data requirements and definitions.
  3. In order to analyse current account data, the following aspects should be considered:
    1. 3.1. Goods (on a BOP basis): Source: National Institute of Statistics – International Trade of Goods. Imports FOB are calculated by the NBR based on the CIF/FOB conversion factor set by the NIS. The balance of payments principle consists in entering goods based on the “change in economic ownership” criterion (goods acquired by residents are included, irrespective of whether the goods cross the country border or not), while in international trade statistics goods are recorded based on the “cross-border” criterion (goods are recorded when crossing the border, irrespective of whether they belong to residents or not). In order to ensure compliance with the “change in economic ownership” criterion, the NIS data are adjusted by the NBR, therefore the values of exports and imports of goods in the BOP statistics are different from those in the statistics on the international trade of goods;
    2. 3.2. Services: Source: Quarterly Survey on International Trade in Services;
    3. 3.3. Primary income: includes compensation of employees, investment income (direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment) and other primary income (taxes, subsidies);
    4. 3.4. Secondary income: includes current private transfers and transfers of the general government.
  4. Foreign direct investment: The permanent debt between affiliated financial intermediaries (banks, NBFIs) is not treated as direct investment, but recorded under financial account/other investment.
  5. The statistical standards for the external debt breakdown by institutional sector are provided by the IMF’s manuals External Debt Statistics Guide for Compilers and Users (2014), Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, 6th edition (BPM6) and System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA).
  6. Long-term external debt service ratio is calculated as a ratio of long-term external debt service to exports of goods and services.
  7. Import cover is calculated as a ratio of international reserves (foreign exchange + gold) at the end of period to average monthly imports of goods and services for the period under review.
  8. Short-term external debt by remaining maturity refers to the short-term external debt outstanding at the end of period plus the payments related to long-term external debt due in the following 12 months.

The next monthly press release on the “Balance of payments and external debt” will be issued on 12 April 2024.